10 NFL Stars Whose Production Will Drop Off in 2013 (at Bleacher Report)

Get your venom ready for 10 NFL Stars Whose Production Will Drop Off in 2013.


A sampling of the piece, this part on why JJ Watt will not repeat his 2012- you can read the whole thing here:

Why He’ll See a Drop Off

The return of Brian Cushing may both help and hurt Watt’s third season. Ultimately, he could drive some attention away from Watt, but given Watt’s production last season, offenses are going to key on him until someone makes them stop. They are going to do everything in their power to keep him out of reach of the ball, the quarterback, the backup quarterback and the play in general.

Watt appears to be (and mind you, it’s going to be only his third season) a rare talent—not just physically (though you can’t deny his athleticism) but also mentally. However, he is still young. An entire offseason of observation and study will be dedicated to Watt and stopping him.

The offenses will evolve to stop him.

We’ve seen a little evidence they were adjusting towards the end of last season and during the postseason. After he lit up Andrew Luck in Week 15, he quieted down a bit, and New England contained him in Houston’s loss during the playoffs.

That’s not to say he didn’t have an impact—just less of one.

His sack total is probably where we’ll see the most regression. Looking at just raw numbers, guys who hit 20-plus sacks, like Lawrence Taylor, Chris Doleman, Mark Gastineau, Michael Strahan and most recently Jared Allen, saw a big drop the following year, in part due to the extra attention.

Watt will continue to progress and get even better. However, we will probably see a dip in his numbers this year as he re-adjusts to the offenses adjusting to what he did in 2012.



Again, you can see the whole thing at Bleacher Report (including why I might be wrong) and thanks for stopping by!


OTA Standouts Who Will Struggle to Survive Final NFL Roster Cuts (at Bleacher Report)

Hope everyone had a good extended weekend (and those of you who had to work, hope they didn’t work you too hard) and also took a moment to appreciate the folks who have given their lives to protect the freedom we have to express ourselves, even if we express ourselves like idiots sometimes.

Here’s a sample from my piece on some guys who have excelled in OTAs but may not make the final roster:

From the Michael Jenkins slide:

Why He Won’t Make the Cut

The Patriots are clearly looking for youth in their wide receivers, having replaced Wes Welker walk with Danny Amendola and then drafting several young wide receivers. Jenkins is very old and hasn’t produced all that well in some time—though you can point to the Vikings’ quarterback issues the last two seasons as one reason.

That said, I watched Jenkins a ton last year and came away just as unimpressed as I have every time he has caught my eye.

Right now, the Pats have 12 receivers on the roster and will certainly pare down. Jenkins may look good in OTAs, but when the pads come on, he’ll revert back to his usual self.

The team may look for veterans to have around, but Julian Edelman is a longtime Patriot, Amendola is entering his fifth year and Donald Jones is as good as Jenkins but half his age.

I just don’t see the value in Jenkins come September.

Of course, I also made an argument for where I might be wrong. So again, you can check out my piece at B/R here.


Busting Five Myths about the Jacksonville Jaguars (at Bleacher Report)

Just posted this at B/R.

As always, here’s a taste—you can read the whole thing at Bleacher Report.

4) Small market teams can’t support an NFL franchise

This goes hand in hand with the next myth, attendance.

As of 2011, the estimated population of Jacksonville is 827,908 people—actually the 11th most populous city in the US.

Hang on, you say, that can’t be right. Because they’re a small market team, right?

True. They lack the wattage of New York City or San Francisco. However, they actually have a larger population than San Fran—and Boston, and Seattle, Denver, Washington, DC, Baltimore.

Green Bay by the way—one of the smallest market teams in the universe and ranked 10th in attendance for 2012—is ranked as the 268th city in population.

Like Jacksonville, Green Bay lacks big media hubs, giant cities and are not giant tourist destinations.

What they have, which Jacksonville does not, is a winning team.

But as for small markets, they do just fine.

Jacksonville is far from too small to support a team and not even close to the smallest or least populous city with an NFL team.

That’s one of five – check out the other four with the rest of the piece at B/R.

Jets Fans Should Not Rush to Judge GM John Idzik Based on Garrard & Goodson

Posted this today at Bleacher Report, where you can read the whole thing.

Here’s a little sample:

The Jets are done.

Fold up the tents kids. Destroy Florham Park. Burn the training facility to the ground and sow the seeds so nothing will ever be grown again.

At least, that’s how it sounds if you listen to the media and a segment of “running off the cliff” Jets fans. Newly minted GM John Idzik is a failure or at least having a terrible offseason.

To which I say, nonsense.

Sure, anonymous scouts will tell ESPN the Jets failed to do their due diligence on Mike Goodson, but what were the Jets supposed to find?

Nothing, because until he was arrested this May there was nothing to find.

As I said, you can read the rest at Bleacher Report……

Thanks for checking in!